Seasonal climate watch: July to November 2022
[{“type”:”text”,”content”:”The multi-model rainfall forecast indicates below-normal rainfall for the south-western half of the country and notably above-normal rainfall over parts of KwaZulu-Natal towards the spring season. Both maximum and minimum temperatures are expected to be above normal for most of the country. nnThe South African Weather Service (SAWS) will continue to monitor the weather and climatic conditions and provide updates on any future assessments that may provide more clarity on the current expectations for the coming season.nn#### South African weather service prediction system nnOcean-atmosphere global climate model nSAWS is currently recognised by the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) as a Global Producing Centre (GPC) for Long-Range Forecasts (LRF). This is owing to its local numerical modelling efforts, which involve coupling of both the atmosphere and ocean components to form a fully interactive coupled modelling system, named the SAWS Coupled Model (SCM), the first of its kind in both South Africa and the region. Below are the first season (July-August-September) predictions for rainfall (Figure 1) and average temperature (Figure 2).”,”position”:0,”id”:”6FpdxDjQKNQiCBX4″},{“type”:”image”,”content”:”https://agrisaonline.com/images/images/770″,”position”:1,”id”:”9IWnpaxR3YUSFqpU”},{“type”:”text”,”content”:”*Figure 1: July-August-September (2022) global prediction for total rainfall probabilities.*”,”position”:2,”id”:”MOKfOBLq7lLGnib8″},{“type”:”image”,”content”:”https://agrisaonline.com/images/images/769″,”position”:3,”id”:”EZ1QC6AmROSZeoET”},{“type”:”text”,”content”:”*Figure 2: July-August-September (2022) global prediction for average temperature probabilities.*”,”position”:4,”id”:”uX58bXbfyMJpcmUq”}]